The college football bowl games contained just as many blowouts as the Final Four of last year’s men’s NCAA hoops tourney. That said, the football version of the blow-out is ten times more exciting, I must say. LSU put it to the Irish, 41-14, placing Notre Dame coach Charlie Weiss at the same record as prematurely-fired-ex-coach Ty Willingham (0-2). Does the coach get fired now? Even after the hunky suspension? Of course not. In fact, Weiss may get another extension just to keep him from grabbing any other NFL job. Justice? I think not.
Moving on to last week’s predictions, the sure-bets, the bet-your-house-and-home-on-these, I went 3-1. In Indy, Peyton Manning nearly threw the game over to Ty Law (yep, again in the playoffs) and his faltering Chiefs, who could not move the ball on that Colts D to save their life. Maybe the Colts’ D was possessed by that of old great defenses of the past, or maybe Larry Johnson dropped back into “baby” mode, which would make Dick Vermeil even more of a genius for predicting it. But either way, the game was sloppy but the better team won.
If you haven’t seen my piece on Tony Romo yet, go read it. He blew it for the team. Sports people always say “no one play loses the game” but they’re wrong. If that 19-yard field goal (!!!) goes through without a hitch, Dallas moves on and Owens’ drops and Terry Glen’s fumble for a safety are ignored. Give it up to the true player of the game, Jordan Babineaux, for making the shoestring tackle on Romo that stopped Dallas short of the goal line and, just as importantly, the first down marker.
The Patriots outplayed the Jets in every aspect. Even in the end after the game, Belichick’s hip-toss of the cameraman who stood in the middle of he and hated ex-coworker/current Jets coach, Eric Mangini, was better than Man-genius’s simple sidesteps. The hug was awkward, strange, and more of a “rubbing your face in it, you punk” than a “congrats on the loss, you’re still my boy.” Jets fans, you couldn’t have possibly thought… nah, you couldn’t have. Next year, you’ll be back and fighting even stronger. Credit the hug.
The Giants fought hard all the way to the end, but the momentum the Birds had from their winning streak proved impossible to overcome. Credit the Eagles’ new-found running game, which allows Brian Westbrook (Please, Washington Metro-area folk, stop confusing him with Michael Westbrook and/or Brian Mitchell. He’s about 100 times better than both.) a chance to show that he is not just the best receiver on the team, he also knows how to run the ball (See resume w/ stats from Villanova). Tiki Barber didn’t go out on a winning note, but at least he knows that thanks to the media and out-spoken (now)ex-teammates, he’ll always be able to cut on a TV and know what’s going on in that locker room.
Moving onto the “Bet your cat on ‘em because I don’t like cats” picks…
* * * * * * *
Colts at Ravens
The staple of the Ravens team is, and always will be so long as Ray Lewis is a part of that squad, the defense. They’re fast, loud and usually trying to injure someone on every play. That said, Peyton Manning is probably licking his chops this week like he’s part of his own pack of wolves. Not the protectors of his city but, rather, the hunters. He knows he can overcome the Ravens’ D and all week he’s worked on ways to make it happen. The Colts’ D is on a high right now so they may play possessed again, but don’t expect them to completely shut down Jamal Lewis. They performed last week and complained that they get no respect, but the media isn’t the one putting up poor defensive numbers all year. They have only themselves to thank for that. So… yeah…
Steve McNair is one of the most underappreciated, tough leaders of my lifetime at the position of quarterback. His position in Baltimore was perfect, for a team that seemed to have every piece imaginable (and then some) on defense but no leader for their shoddy offense. The team was going nowhere with Kyle Boller (a young Jon Kitna, if you ask me) and McNair’s veteran leadership ability is another reason the Ravens have been runaway favorites for this year’s Super Bowl title.
But although the picture isn’t painted just right – with the shaky D always seeming to be the lead reason to count Indy out – it is their year to win. They avoided winning 16 games in the regular season to relieve pressure from the entire squad. Then they lost a few games late to have everyone in the league write them off in the first round, to an inconsistent team with one main offensive threat. Just remember that if Peyton Manning can overcome throwing the ball to his favorite defensive target, Ty Law, and still move onto the next round of the playoffs, the league had better get real scared.
Colts win 28-27.
Eagles at Saints
All year I’ve said dreaded the position this game places me in. The team I root for by way of fan obligation (Eagles) is matched up against the team I root for because I think the country has forgotten about, much too quickly (Saints). The damage caused by Hurricane Katrina over a year ago still affects residents today. Some have not had the chance to move back into their homes, either opting to live in another state or FEMA trailers that tend to be much too small for its inhabitants. The attention garnered from a Saints win would bring more national attention to the city (it’s a pity that it takes a sporting event to bring the attention) and the city would need and appreciate any and all help.
That said, I think that even with the Coach of the Year, Sean Payton, on the sideline, the Eagles are riding a wave that isn’t ready to stop just yet. Philly is stacked with veterans who not only have been to the playoffs, but many have been to the Super Bowl (yep, in the T.O. era that wasn’t). Experience trumps young confidence here, and despite the establishment of Reggie Bush as a great pro, and the emergence of Payton as one of the best coaches in the league, they cannot complete the miracle and keep their ball rolling. And I’m almost saddened by it. It’ll be a close one, though, with both defenses having as many holes as one of the failing levees left by the gov’t before Katrina. If this were a basketball game, you better believe Spike Lee would be courtside rooting for New Orleans.
Nobody’s a real loser, despite the outcome, because the story the Saints have had this year will be remembered, and hopefully cause momentum to go beyond the walls of the Superdome and down into the Lower Ninth Ward, where help is truly needed.
Side note: Whoever wins this game will go on to the Super Bowl. Yep, I said it. As a famous character in a certain ‘hood flick said, “Write it down, take a picture, I don’t give a…”
Eagles win, 35-31.
Seahawks at Bears
Each week, as I watch the Bears play it’s not a matter of if Rex Grossman will screw the game up, it’s when. Lovie Smith sat in the stands as he watched his two former colleagues, Tony Dungy and Herm Edwards, battle it out to advance to Round 2. On the Kansas City sideline, he saw Edwards battle his instincts, as Trent Green played poorly. With Damon Huard on the sideline pacing frenetically, Edwards now may wish he had pulled the plug on Green for his more capable backup. Smith will encounter the same feeling. Grossman may as well be named Murphy, because his Law goes, “whatever bad can happen, will happen.” It’s almost to the point where I just stare at the TV and say, “Oh, that’s just Grossman being Grossman!” the same way I did when watching Bronson Pinochet’s character back on Perfect Strangers.
The Bears’ D, while one of the best in the land, has been inconsistent as of late. People want reference the great, historic comeback against the Arizona Cardinals on Monday Night Football during the season as the reason why there is nothing this team can overcome. (1) That was the Cardinals. (2) It was the Cardinals’ offense, sans Larry Fitzgerald, who put up the early points on that D everyone loves.
Rex will screw up. He has to. The pressure’s mounted and, even though Seattle has no business being here after their lucky win against Dallas, they will defeat the Bears on Sunday. Yes, in Chicago. Hasselbeck is a veteran, playoff-tested quarterback who, so long as he doesn’t make any premature scoring promises after the coin-toss of either regulation or overtime, will come through for his team. It helps to have last year’s MVP in the backfield. And the X-factor is something I don’t think people took notice of last week much when rubbing their lucky rabbit’s foot for the win: Jerramy Stevens actually caught the ball. Effectively. Remember last year? All the smack talk? The ‘hawks ain’t done, by any means.
Seahawks win, 31-28.
Patriots at Chargers
Fresh off the Man-genius defeat and consequential hug, Bill Belichick is on Cloud 9. He knew he could beat his former protégé, of course, but, I’m saying, he’s… still happy for the team and “blah, blah, this week’s game.” So last week’s win behind them, the Pats beat up on a team that in no way rivals the talent of the San Diego (Super)Chargers.
LT is near unstoppable right now. As the saying goes, “You cannot stop him. You can only hope to contain him.” And their defense has been on fire, lit by the enhanced-spark known as Shawn Merriman. For the sake of this article’s examples, we’ll affectionately refer to him as the “lighting fluid”. And, of course, that nickname in no way references his four-game suspension for using illegal enhancers. Seventeen sacks in twelve games is enough to make any quarterback fear for his life. That is, any quarterback other than Tom Brady. The aggressive blitz package that the Chargers utilize is just what the Pats’ dink-and-dunk offense thrives on. It frustrates people like me who love open offenses that put many, many points on the board.
This one looks to be a battle of the ages; one where the outcome will come down to Tom Brady defeating Philip Rivers. And it sure is extremely difficult to pick against, as Jason Whitlock calls them, the “Killer Bs” this time of the year. But it also seems hard to pick against any team led by LT. The Pats will bring fans from the stands and tigers from under the stadium a-la Gladiator, just to slow down the MVP of the league. Call Tomlinson Maximus Aurillius if you want, but even his performance will not stop the Pats from their continued playoff success/skill/luck.
Patriots win, 31-28.
Picks also available here.